An inverted rate yield curve – that is, a long-term interest rate that falls to or below the short-term interest rate – seems to have a track record of predicting recessions. The question of leading ...

Imagine you are sailing a ship through dense fog, looking out for land. Your lookout spots species of birds typically found offshore. It now seems likely that you are approaching land, but it is ...

Economists may have a pretty dismal record with predictions. But we're still interested in what they see in their ...

The Bay Area's tremendous six-year economic boom is winding down and the region will almost certainly slip into a recession within the next 12 months, according to a widely watched forecast issued ...

JPMorgan Chase‘s chief global strategist suggests that the US economy, while likely to dodge a recession, should brace for slower growth. Despite these challenges, Kelly remains optimistic about the ...

Goldman Sachs economists lowered their recession forecast for the U.S. to 35%, from 45% previously, following a temporary tariff truce between the U.S. and China on Monday, which lifted hopes of ...

(Reuters) - Major brokerages have scaled back their U.S. recession forecasts following a temporary tariff truce between the U.S. and China, which has fueled optimism for easing global trade ...

Major brokerages have gone back on their U.S. recession forecasts after a 90-day tariff pause between U.S. and China. The revised predictions come after both countries agreed to reduce tariffs: the ...

UCLA Anderson Forecast predicted in March that, if enacted, the Trump administration’s economic policies will lead to recession. Clement Bohr, the economist who authored the recession watch report, ...

Economic models spent much of 2025 flashing red, yet the year ended with a mix of solid growth, jittery factories, and stock ...

A panel of experts including economist Bill Lafayette will speak at the Columbus Metropolitan Club's Annual Blue Chip ...

University of Hawaii economists expect the state economy to begin gradually contracting later this year due to federal policy impacts hurting tourism, employment and personal income. The University of ...