The conjunction and disjunction fallacies are famous for revealing the limits of human reasoning about probability. This can be measured by telling people a short story about a character and then ...

Should defendants be convicted based on merely statistical evidence? To what extent are individuals responsible for group harms? Can voting in a non-swing state be justified? Are cosmological theories ...

IN his “Scientific Inference”, Dr. Jeffreys has already adumbrated his approach to the theory of probability. The present book is a more systematic presentation of his views, beginning with the ...