吴说获悉，Delphi Digital 发文表示，基本面信号显示当前市场对波动率的定价存在偏差。当隐含波动率（IV）显著低于其估算的合理价值、且比特币处于历史高位时，历史上往往伴随较大幅度回调。该模型在去年 10 月曾发出类似信号，并在大规模清算事件前 4 天触发。Delphi 同时指出，若 IV 明显高于合理价值，反而通常是较好的买入窗口。目前多项领先指标显示，波动率被低估，风险偏向上行。

Delphi Digital and Polymarket have announced a partnership to integrate prediction markets with crypto research. The collaboration launches with 11 markets based on Delphi’s Year Ahead report series.

Polymarket and Delphi Digital announce a first-of-its-kind partnership turning research predictions into tradable markets. What it means for forecasting and business.

Perpetual decentralized exchanges are moving from the edges of crypto trading toward the center of the market, as new data ...